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Polymarket wallet 0x2846b97d6fa2132927bbf45bfd0e903598bed10d · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2025 · also shown as Thoughtful-Neighbour
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trudeau resign Today?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,528 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Spurs vs. Knicks | SellKnicks44¢ | $108 |
| 130d | Spurs vs. Knicks | BuyKnicks40¢ | $102 |
| 230d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo6¢ | $11 |
| 234d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 234d | Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyNo76¢ | $50 |
| 234d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyYes44¢ | $50 |
| 250d | Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | SellYes>99¢ | $117 |
| 250d | Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BuyYes60¢ | $70 |
| 395d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 462d | Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | BuyYes32¢ | $69 |
| 616d | Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | BuyYes52¢ | $100 |
| 649d | Will Trudeau resign Today? | BuyNo18¢ | $100 |
| 649d | Will Trudeau resign Today? | BuyNo10¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.