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Polymarket wallet 0x3a58bc86e64ea6316a3e42a65483046547a8612f · on Polymarket since Mar 17, 2026 · also shown as Arctic-Icing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,132 | 13¢ → 21¢ | $437 | +$160 +58% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,924 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $202 | −$87 −30% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 243 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $183 | −$16 −7.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.