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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 290 | 11¢ → 100¢ | $290 | +$258 +809% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 299 | 56¢ → 87¢ | $260 | +$93 +55% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 595 | 50¢ → 12¢ | $68 | −$229 −77% |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $67 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 21 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.