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Polymarket wallet 0x46b299188c0cd2c8e525628c32f64b3af76e0ce0 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2024 · also shown as Quirky-Cross
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22,678 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,306 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24,334 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,924 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117,780 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,041 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,257 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$251 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40,808 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,283 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 43 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.