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Polymarket wallet 0x485b4dfad06cc6b435438c8f5592fc90bcec2c1c · on Polymarket since Oct 25, 2024 · also shown as Coarse-Compassion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +33% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| GTA VI released in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BuyDown11¢ | $1 |
| 107d | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision? | BuyYes48¢ | $2 |
| 114d | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision? | BuyYes75¢ | $2 |
| 114d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes81¢ | $2 |
| 114d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes43¢ | $2 |
| 530d | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BuyYes71¢ | $1 |
| 530d | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 530d | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BuyYes71¢ | $4 |
| 530d | GTA VI released in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $2 |
| 559d | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes73¢ | $13 |
| 710d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes19¢ | $9 |
| 721d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes36¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.