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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 148 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $148 | +$50 +52% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,452 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,105 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $993 |
| 276d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $112 |
| 276d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo77¢ | $112 |
| 276d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo78¢ | $114 |
| 279d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo66¢ | $98 |
| 279d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.