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Polymarket wallet 0x5194b5a4e7cb37dc00fff05464c3157c6810af28 · on Polymarket since May 7, 2025 · also shown as Murky-Convertible
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 527d | New Pope announced by May 9? | SellYes>99¢ | $29 |
| 527d | Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots? | SellYes90¢ | $43 |
| 527d | New Pope announced by May 9? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29 |
| 527d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | SellNo93¢ | $29 |
| 527d | Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m? | BuyYes93¢ | $10 |
| 528d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $29 |
| 528d | Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 528d | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 528d | Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May? | BuyNo57¢ | $17 |
| 528d | Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election? | BuyYes91¢ | $10 |
| 528d | Will Joe Biden say "Trump" 5+ times during his May 8 interview? | BuyYes35¢ | $10 |
| 528d | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes84¢ | $10 |
| 528d | Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | BuyYes32¢ | $10 |
| 528d | No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes98¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.