| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 100¢ | $60 | +$59 +4900% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$47 +1500% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 9¢ → 100¢ | $43 | +$39 +1026% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 13¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$27 +700% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 2¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$29 +4900% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$15 +100% |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 13¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$26 +700% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 13¢ → 100¢ | $28 | +$25 +700% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 8¢ → 78¢ | $23 | +$21 +840% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 13¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$19 +700% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 25¢ → 69¢ | $21 | +$13 +176% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$18 +900% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 2¢ → 66¢ | $20 | +$19 +3993% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$17 +700% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 30 | 50¢ → 62¢ | $18 | +$3 +23% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 5¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$17 +1900% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 50¢ → 59¢ | $15 | +$2 +17% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 6¢ → 41¢ | $12 | +$10 +552% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 58 | 50¢ → 17¢ | $10 | −$19 −66% |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 16¢ | $9 | +$8 +867% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 35 | 3¢ → 25¢ | $9 | +$8 +800% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 27¢ | $8 | +$7 +863% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 50¢ → 26¢ | $8 | −$7 −49% |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 22¢ | $6 | +$3 +115% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 19 | 10¢ → 33¢ | $6 | +$4 +230% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 14 | 3¢ → 43¢ | $6 | +$6 +1430% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$5 +1100% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 34¢ | $5 | +$4 +376% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $4 | +$4 +582% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX?Ends in 440d | Yes | 48 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $4 | +$3 +206% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 25¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$6 −66% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$1 +102% |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 50¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$42 −94% |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 22¢ | $2 | −$3 −56% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 11¢ | $2 | +$1 +73% |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$6 −74% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$1 +80% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 25 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12 | 6¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +66% |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 11 | 50¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$4 −77% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −52% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 9 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$1 +96% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −63% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 11 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +39% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$1 +693% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 90 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$7 −87% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 256d | Yes | 16 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$1 +645% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 21 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −45% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 19 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −35% |
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$7 −90% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −14% |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −72% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 90 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$7 −94% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −76% |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 3 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $0 | +$0 +108% |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −84% |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 48 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −92% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 11 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −28% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −34% |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −94% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −39% |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 92 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −94% |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −94% |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +20% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIGI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 60 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −91% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 90 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −98% |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −52% |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −52% |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 79 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −98% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −16% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −16% |
| Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −64% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −28% |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −98% |
| Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 139 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −97% |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 120 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −76% |
