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Polymarket wallet 0x5ab6a61e4c31b700004945b7bc7f58c14b086cd4 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2025 · also shown as Active-Girdle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$5 +47% |
| Will US leave NATO by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 574d | Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | SellYes31¢ | $8 |
| 587d | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyYes7¢ | $3 |
| 591d | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyYes10¢ | $4 |
| 591d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo75¢ | $40 |
| 592d | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 592d | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes65¢ | $4 |
| 595d | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 595d | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $5 |
| 595d | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | BuyNo68¢ | $10 |
| 595d | Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | BuyYes79¢ | $21 |
| 595d | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | BuyNo79¢ | $20 |
| 595d | Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April? | BuyYes26¢ | $15 |
| 595d | Trump releases Epstein list today? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 595d | New Pope in 2025? | BuyNo34¢ | $10 |
| 595d | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes44¢ | $3 |
| 595d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo81¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.