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Polymarket wallet 0x5b946d0fb0ef0790fa4f935fa5682d05761a7107 · on Polymarket since Apr 29, 2025 · also shown as Silly-Lychee
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $34 | +$14 +69% |
| India military action against Pakistan before June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$3 +67% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.4% |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 203d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BuyYes31¢ | $5 |
| 203d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyYes59¢ | $20 |
| 203d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
| 237d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 535d | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes39¢ | $5 |
| 535d | India military strike on Pakistan by Friday? | BuyYes24¢ | $5 |
| 535d | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes60¢ | $5 |
| 537d | Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | BuyNo91¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.