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Polymarket wallet 0x6002bdd47f5cfe28f6e90bd254a503410a10f4be · on Polymarket since Dec 21, 2024 · also shown as Grumpy-Independent
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negative GDP growth in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.5% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$9 −86% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme GamingSettled - ready to redeem | PARIVISION | 75 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 110 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.