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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BuyNo10¢ | $5 |
| 258d | Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | BuyNo93¢ | $5 |
| 258d | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | SellYes26¢ | $9 |
| 275d | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
| 275d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo69¢ | $5 |
| 275d | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo45¢ | $5 |
| 275d | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo46¢ | $5 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo56¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.