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Polymarket wallet 0x683c4a6fab911d8556453084d711e39d428d7b41 · on Polymarket since Oct 1, 2025 · also shown as Early-Fabric
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,108 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,563 −100% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 197 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? | BuyNo74¢ | $1,563 |
| 264d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo88¢ | $1,563 |
| 269d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ | $1,350 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SellNo91¢ | $1,350 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ | $1,365 |
| 271d | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | SellNo97¢ | $1,365 |
| 279d | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | BuyNo95¢ | $1,333 |
| 291d | Maduro out in 2025? | SellNo100¢ | $1,333 |
| 345d | Maduro out in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ | $1,152 |
| 363d | OpenAI browser by October 31? | BuyNo73¢ | $144 |
| 363d | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | SellNo97¢ | $144 |
| 379d | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | BuyNo82¢ | $122 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.