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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 100% | +83 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | +66 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31, 2026 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254d |  Makise.Kurisu | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | 0x4c29…7570 | February 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,823 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Icky-Conductor | February 28 | SellYes100¢ | $1,132 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 254d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | February 28 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,033 | +$235 +4.7% | 4 |
| 254d | damensch | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d |  Debosnys2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,969 | +$31 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | Debosnys | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Extravaganza123 | February 28 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,414 | −$45 −1.0% | — |
| 255d | MistahFox | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | MistahFox3 fills | February 28 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,239 | +$521 +9.9% | 4 |
| 255d | dotheoppositeofme7 fills | February 28 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $19,029 | +$896 +4.7% | 4 |
| 255d | Icky-Conductor | February 28 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$114 +11% | 4 |
| 255d |  Rex416 | March 31 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$99 −9.9% | — |
| 255d |  chefepanda | February 28 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$158 +5.3% | 4 |
| 255d | Rex416 | February 28 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$87 +7.5% | 4 |
| 255d | randomlypunting | February 28 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,717 | +$148 +5.5% | 4 |
| 255d | Lean-Pelt | March 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$93 +3.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  Nik- | February 28 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$138 +9.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Makise.Kurisu | February 28 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 |
| 255d |  HeWho-REMAINS | February 28 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$159 +9.4% | 4 |
| 255d | Makise.Kurisu | March 31 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$801 +67% | 4 |
| 255d |  DREAMBIG. | March 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$1,296 +72% | 4 |
| 255d |  theta-thunberg | March 31 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,185 +113% | 4 |
| 255d | aiioi | March 31 | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | +$1,283 +100% | — |
| 255d |  DonAntimatter | February 28 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,162 | −$1,162 −100% | 4 |
| 256d |  EMtourist | February 28 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 4 |
| 256d | Charliecoco | March 31 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,563 | −$1,563 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | Putrid-Assassination | February 28 | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $2,082 | −$2,082 −100% | 4 |
| 259d | Unrealistic-ServalNew account | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 260d | beatyesterday4 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$145 +1.9% | 4 |
| 262d | sportswagers | March 31 | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | +$1,114 +100% | — |
| 262d | MalloryNorris9898 | March 31 | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | +$1,110 +100% | — |
| 264d | curious.ninja1 | March 31 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,558 | −$1,558 −100% | 4 |
| 271d | DonAntimatter | March 31 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,498 | −$2,498 −100% | 6 |
| 273d | p0l1morphism | January 31, 2026 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | −$479 −27% | — |
| 274d |  gopfan2 | March 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$970 +49% | 4 |
| 288d | Putrid-Assassination | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$286 +16% | 5 |
| 288d | yinyi123 | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$240 +19% | 4 |
| 289d | nonkenny90 | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$221 +20% | 4 |
| 289d | p0l1morphism | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | +$305 +16% | 4 |
| 289d | alliswell | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,095 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | Batundi3 fills | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$2,396 +18% | 4 |
| 290d | aiagentai | December 31, 2025 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$23 −1.4% | — |
| 290d |  yougetnone | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 |
| 296d | topsonrock | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$56 +5.3% | 4 |
| 297d | 0x0ac7…0757 | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$495 +20% | 5 |
| 297d | Putrid-Assassination3 fills | December 31, 2025 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,298 | −$621 −9.9% | — |
| 301d | aiagentai | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$103 +6.8% | 4 |
| 301d | Gethigher | December 31, 2025 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | −$131 −7.4% | — |
| 301d | n0d | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$200 +6.8% | 4 |
| 302d | Putrid-AssassinationNew account | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $9,836 | +$3,496 +36% | 4 |
| 302d |  Optimus- | December 31, 2025 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 302d | Simon4s | December 31, 2025 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | −$1,148 −100% | 5 |
| 302d | 165198989 | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$636 +43% | 4 |
| 302d | javarisjavarjavarisonlamar2 fills | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,686 | +$138 +3.7% | 4 |
| 302d | bokaf | December 31, 2025 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$120 −6.4% | — |
| 302d |  MisterSandman | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$80 +6.4% | 4 |
| 304d |  DogsInPools | December 31, 2025 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | −$370 −12% | — |
| 305d | Llalalala | December 31, 2025 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | −$456 −12% | — |
| 305d | Llalalala2 fills | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,441 | +$382 +11% | 4 |
AllByMyseIf6,023 shares
funding2,000 sharesgopfan21,715 shares
ClownPagliacci1,174 shares
BerLiN514 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Cloudflare may classify as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31, 2025 means the market gives it about 0%.