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Polymarket wallet 0x6d24c1195a4d60e7705433b750cd4d6b83ec774e · on Polymarket since Aug 23, 2026 · also shown as Haunting-Ford-Determination
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 101 | 91¢ → 73¢ | $73 | −$19 −20% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 15 | 88¢ → 67¢ | $10 | −$3 −24% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$4 −68% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 21¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −45% |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5 |
| 17d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes93¢ | $8 |
| 17d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BuyYes21¢ | $3 |
| 28d | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 29d | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 31d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026? | BuyYes92¢ | $5 |
| 31d | Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $7 |
| 32d | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | BuyYes88¢ | $5 |
| 32d | Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10 |
| 32d | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 54d | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | BuyYes88¢ | $8 |
| 54d | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes91¢ | $92 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.