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Polymarket wallet 0x7748a644a6a834799da10cb2d1ea926277c158d7 · on Polymarket since May 18, 2025 · also shown as Rash-Doctorate
macro strategist focused on asymmetric risk, definitely not a degenerate gambler.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevSettled - ready to redeem | Flavio Cobolli | 411 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo ArnaldiSettled - ready to redeem | Matteo Berrettini | 89 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 193 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaSettled - ready to redeem | Maja Chwalinska | 255 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 498 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaSettled - ready to redeem | Naomi Osaka | 126 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | Buy22¢ | $91 |
| 11d | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 12d | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? | SellYes84¢ | $135 |
| 12d | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? | BuyYes34¢ | $57 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $3 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BuyUp34¢ | $5 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $5 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $26 |
| 90d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime? | Buy10¢ | $20 |
| 90d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies AND Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros AND New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs | Buy2¢ | $1 |
| 103d | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | Buy43¢ | $115 |
| 112d | Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Buy33¢ | $130 |
| 117d | Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Buy29¢ | $102 |
| 118d | Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Buy47¢ | $106 |
| 119d | Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Buy51¢ | $101 |
| 119d | Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Buy36¢ | $186 |
| 120d | United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver51¢ | $100 |
| 122d | England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Sell80¢ | $209 |
| 122d | England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Buy38¢ | $102 |
| 122d | Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Buy31¢ | $101 |
| 126d | Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Buy40¢ | $157 |
| 126d | Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Buy43¢ | $102 |
| 127d | United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Buy31¢ | $41 |
| 132d | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BuyFlavio Cobolli25¢ | $105 |
| 133d | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | BuyMaja Chwalinska16¢ | $42 |
| 136d | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Berrettini45¢ | $41 |
| 137d | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | SellJakub Mensik79¢ | $91 |
| 137d | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | BuyJakub Mensik34¢ | $40 |
| 138d | Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka31¢ | $40 |
| 140d | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SellYes>99¢ | $354 |
| 140d | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes57¢ | $204 |
| 151d | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | BuyYes59¢ | $47 |
| 152d | Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 160d | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | BuyYes23¢ | $117 |
| 161d | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? | BuyYes52¢ | $149 |
| 162d | Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08? | BuyYes37¢ | $56 |
| 163d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? | SellNo19¢ | $32 |
| 163d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? | SellYes31¢ | $61 |
| 163d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SellYes24¢ | $45 |
| 163d | Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SellNo58¢ | $29 |
| 163d | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | SellNo78¢ | $43 |
| 163d | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | SellYes5¢ | $3 |
| 163d | Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? | SellYes21¢ | $15 |
| 163d | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May? | SellYes37¢ | $18 |
| 163d | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | SellNo47¢ | $92 |
| 163d | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | SellNo51¢ | $4 |
| 163d | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? | SellNo54¢ | $3 |
| 163d | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | SellYes18¢ | $0 |
| 163d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SellNo51¢ | $2 |
| 163d | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $0 |
| 163d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? | BuyNo38¢ | $64 |
| 163d | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May? | BuyYes51¢ | $26 |
| 163d | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | BuyNo48¢ | $96 |
| 163d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SellNo52¢ | $3 |
| 163d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SellNo52¢ | $3 |
| 163d | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | SellNo52¢ | $1 |
| 163d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SellYes24¢ | $2 |
| 163d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? | BuyYes34¢ | $69 |
| 163d | Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SellNo73¢ | $220 |
| 163d | Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3? | BuyNo83¢ | $250 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.