Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21,153 | 31¢ → 16¢ | $3,279 | −$3,254 −50% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,498 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $562 | −$12 −2.2% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 13,638 | 22¢ → 4¢ | $525 | −$2,460 −82% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 4,989 | 53¢ → 8¢ | $399 | −$2,249 −85% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 75d | No | 14,483 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $138 | −$1,728 −93% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 829 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $62 | −$137 −69% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.