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Polymarket wallet 0x7e7af9e7cb5097dbc938a3b639400a0e00d98f62 · on Polymarket since May 12, 2026 · also shown as Spiteful-Caviar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$4 −71% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,250 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,060 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 672 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo1¢ | $4 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BuyUp22¢ | $5 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown19¢ | $5 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SellDown99¢ | $13 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyDown38¢ | $5 |
| 158d | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
| 158d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BuyYes35¢ | $10 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp15¢ | $5 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp48¢ | $5 |
| 158d | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 158d | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $27 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BuyUp5¢ | $59 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BuyUp29¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.