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Polymarket wallet 0x854e4d73287126df3966b187d29db7c4cd4fb675 · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | No | 6,405 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $6,084 | +$1,540 +34% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 619 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $510 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9,010 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$14 −50% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +21% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 65¢ → 12¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 46 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.