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Polymarket wallet 0x98a3e4d00ee7b0e00192bd66536cc52c756d5b37 · on Polymarket since Jan 27, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,484 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,195 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BuyNo63¢ | $2,195 |
| 89d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SellYes98¢ | $2,198 |
| 102d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes86¢ | $1,934 |
| 102d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SellNo99¢ | $1,935 |
| 117d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BuyNo70¢ | $1,362 |
| 118d | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | SellNo63¢ | $1,360 |
| 129d | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo18¢ | $415 |
| 129d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SellNo93¢ | $416 |
| 137d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BuyNo79¢ | $353 |
| 145d | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo84¢ | $158 |
| 151d | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $159 |
| 153d | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BuyNo96¢ | $154 |
| 155d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SellNo88¢ | $154 |
| 178d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo60¢ | $105 |
| 262d | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $98 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.