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Polymarket wallet 0x9d070a01ddc600ebbae69aa2b2d24b06e5218180 · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2024 · also shown as Pastel-Guitar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 157 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 677 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$165 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will US unemployment be 4.3% in December 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 123 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | BuyNo24¢ | $165 |
| 252d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SellNo>99¢ | $165 |
| 394d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyNo84¢ | $132 |
| 394d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SellNo80¢ | $132 |
| 394d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BuyNo83¢ | $275 |
| 662d | Will US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in December 2024? | BuyYes16¢ | $0 |
| 662d | Will US unemployment be 4.3% in December 2024? | BuyYes36¢ | $1 |
| 662d | No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | BuyNo39¢ | $48 |
| 662d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 668d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | BuyNo21¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.