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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 576d |  GoldFinch | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $4,287 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 576d |  NewPower4 fills | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $10,367 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 576d |  Inagurated | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 576d | Vilgefortz2 fills | No Change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,978 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 576d |  MaverickMoves3 fills | No Change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,917 | −$241 −0.8% | — |
| 576d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $6,494 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 576d | wokerjoesleeper | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $11,937 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 576d |  noreasapa | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $8,492 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 576d |  punishedgoon | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 576d |  donkeykongnig4 fills | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $13,488 | −$42 −0.3% | — |
| 576d | kuimale2 fills | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $35,399 | −$75 −0.2% | — |
| 576d | smoltrader2 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 576d | 0xB16B00B5 | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,976 | +$24 +0.4% | 10 |
| 576d |  Kickstand7 | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $89,976 | +$361 +0.4% | 10 |
| 576d |  Flipadelphia4 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $223,326 | +$2,221 +1.0% | 10 |
| 576d |  ScamWick2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,066 | +$35 +0.7% | 10 |
| 576d | MyNameIsDarkKnight6 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $94,868 | +$603 +0.6% | 10 |
| 576d | MyNameIsDarkKnight2 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $62,475 | +$374 +0.6% | 10 |
| 576d | slight- | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo100¢ | $21,964 | +$110 +0.5% | 10 |
| 576d | KunoGreiner | No Change | BuyYes100¢ | $1,393 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 576d | pennycc5 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,550 | +$132 +0.7% | 10 |
| 576d | QMG-CORE | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$14 +0.7% | 10 |
| 576d | QMG-CORE4 fills | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $7,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 576d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA4 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $41,095 | +$316 +0.8% | 10 |
| 576d | ScamWick | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,799 | +$34 +0.9% | 10 |
| 576d |  Debosnys | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $9,219 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 576d | QMG-CORE | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 10 |
| 576d |  debased2 fills | No Change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,670 | −$297 −0.9% | — |
| 576d | donkeykongnig | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | +$23 +0.9% | 10 |
| 576d |  meowinglion3 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,878 | +$46 +0.9% | 10 |
| 576d |  wataprofi | 25 bps decrease | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,722 | −$43 −0.9% | — |
| 576d | RunItUp | No Change | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 15 |
| 576d | cigarettes127 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $758,532 | +$1,085 +0.1% | 10 |
| 576d | cigarettes40 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $247,910 | +$2,032 +0.8% | 10 |
| 576d | debased5 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $37,241 | +$268 +0.7% | 10 |
| 576d |  KimJonEn | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,965 | +$35 +0.7% | 10 |
| 576d | ECEC2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes1¢ → 0¢ | $2,989 | −$2,989 −100% | 18 |
| 577d |  scottilicious2 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $96,980 | +$692 +0.7% | 10 |
| 577d |  d1k213 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,191 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 577d |  praesagus | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,645 | +$244 +0.7% | 10 |
| 577d | ScamWick3 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,743 | −$48 −0.8% | — |
| 577d | oVyg7f | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,041 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 577d | oVyg7f | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$7 +0.7% | 10 |
| 577d | Siziriv14 fills | No Change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $114,820 | −$1,067 −0.9% | — |
| 577d |  DuduAI3 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $75,884 | +$850 +1.1% | 10 |
| 577d |  Donkov | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 577d | simpleman2 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,300 | +$169 +0.8% | 10 |
| 577d |  bosshog2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,586 | +$33 +0.9% | 10 |
| 577d | AiBird | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $1,144 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 577d |  GoriIIa | No Change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $86,084 | −$916 −1.1% | — |
| 577d | Isaak👴 | No Change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 577d |  CoffeeLover2 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,876 | +$47 +0.8% | 10 |
| 577d | CoffeeLover | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,821 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 577d | OPFORintelligence | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 577d | DumbMoney1 | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,739 | +$43 +0.9% | 10 |
| 577d | Naropoly3 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,840 | +$160 +0.8% | 10 |
| 577d | S55 | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$16 +0.8% | 10 |
| 577d |  OneBadBet | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$18 +0.9% | 10 |
| 577d | praesagus3 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $42,661 | +$348 +0.8% | 10 |
| 577d | sugardaddy34 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes1¢ → 0¢ | $7,273 | −$7,273 −100% | 33 |
This is a market on predictions for the Federal Reserve's interest rates in March 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Change means the market gives it about 100%.