S55

Polymarket wallet 0x712433f69c169ebaaa67ce13f3f66f54575e70c1 · on Polymarket since Nov 3, 2024 · also shown as False-Mall

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $52K
All-time profit: +$53.3K
Volume traded: $1.73M
All-time rank: #3,386
Markets traded: 480
Recent hit rate: 66%33 of last 50 closed

Open positions

20 markets · $52K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	30,686	81¢ → 87¢	$26,544	+$1,626 +6.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	No	8,000	85¢ → 87¢	$6,920	+$155 +2.3%
US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d	No	6,849	75¢ → 93¢	$6,370	+$1,209 +23%
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	1,760	95¢ → 99¢	$1,740	+$72 +4.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	2,000	71¢ → 85¢	$1,690	+$275 +19%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	1,969	85¢ → 79¢	$1,545	−$126 −7.5%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	1,500	86¢ → 90¢	$1,346	+$61 +4.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	1,270	91¢ → 98¢	$1,243	+$83 +7.1%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	1,153	66¢ → 69¢	$795	+$30 +3.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d	No	500	94¢ → 99¢	$496	+$26 +5.6%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	500	91¢ → 97¢	$487	+$32 +7.1%
Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	500	95¢ → 97¢	$484	+$7 +1.4%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	500	96¢ → 97¢	$483	+$4 +0.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	500	94¢ → 95¢	$473	+$3 +0.5%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d	No	500	93¢ → 94¢	$468	+$3 +0.5%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	500	85¢ → 87¢	$434	+$12 +2.8%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	367	80¢ → 96¢	$352	+$57 +19%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	850	34¢ → 17¢	$145	−$141 −49%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	700	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$491 −100%
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,827	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,190 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
18h	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo86¢	$2,580
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$3,634
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$86
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$86
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$652
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$532
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$9
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$860
22h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$35
22h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1,231
22h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$23
22h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$24
22h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1,720
22h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$22
23h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$91
23h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$4
23h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$6
23h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$5
23h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$7
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$1
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$18
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$5
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$147
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$25
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$9
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$48
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$4
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$6
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$6
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$11
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes19¢	$242
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes85¢	$2,569
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$2,075
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo84¢	$42
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo84¢	$5
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo84¢	$8
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo84¢	$504
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo84¢	$1,541
1d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyYes72¢	$219
1d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyYes72¢	$364
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$1,660
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$378
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$415
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$37
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes84¢	$1,693
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes84¢	$847
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo84¢	$847
1d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$837
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo83¢	$1,256
1d	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$515
1d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	SellNo72¢	$3,550
2d	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$272
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$60
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$1
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$86
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$333
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$73
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$13
2d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes19¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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