manuelsalgado

Polymarket wallet 0xa07369a908aa86c5c3389bbec316cf3f63e09616 · on Polymarket since Dec 6, 2025 · also shown as Well-Lit-Hearing

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $508
All-time profit: +$628
Volume traded: $19.2K
All-time rank: #103,153
Markets traded: 58
Recent hit rate: 66%33 of last 50 closed

Open positions

6 markets · $508

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	192	52¢ → 100¢	$192	+$92 +92%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d	No	105	95¢ → 99¢	$104	+$4 +4.4%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	20¢ → 100¢	$100	+$80 +400%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	96¢ → 100¢	$100	+$4 +4.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	200	40¢ → 6¢	$11	−$69 −86%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
197d	Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	BuyYes8¢	$8
202d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	SellNo94¢	$492
205d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	BuyNo95¢	$100
205d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BuyNo96¢	$500
215d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SellNo>99¢	$1,186
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo97¢	$188
218d	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SellNo95¢	$95
218d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SellYes23¢	$93
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo97¢	$55
218d	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellNo55¢	$55
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo97¢	$32
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo97¢	$100
218d	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	SellNo95¢	$40
218d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?	SellNo92¢	$92
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo97¢	$80
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo97¢	$100
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo96¢	$100
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo96¢	$100
218d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?	SellNo98¢	$98
218d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	SellNo94¢	$282
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo95¢	$83
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo95¢	$100
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo94¢	$100
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyNo94¢	$100
218d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SellYes6¢	$6
220d	Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BuyYes10¢	$10
221d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?	BuyNo90¢	$90
221d	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$95
222d	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BuyYes40¢	$80
222d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?	BuyNo94¢	$91
222d	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BuyNo90¢	$29
222d	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BuyNo90¢	$9
222d	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BuyNo92¢	$16
222d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?	BuyNo94¢	$3
222d	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BuyNo92¢	$76
231d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BuyYes17¢	$17
231d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	SellNo93¢	$33
231d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	SellNo92¢	$37
231d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	SellNo94¢	$117
231d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	SellNo83¢	$83
231d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	SellNo82¢	$410
232d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BuyNo97¢	$116
232d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BuyNo97¢	$97
232d	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	SellNo99¢	$99
232d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?	SellNo>99¢	$111
232d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BuyNo97¢	$270
232d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	BuyNo96¢	$96
232d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	BuyNo94¢	$94
232d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	BuyNo94¢	$34
232d	Will Solana reach $120 in February?	SellNo>99¢	$100
232d	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?	SellNo>99¢	$299
232d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?	BuyNo95¢	$161
232d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?	BuyNo95¢	$27
232d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?	BuyNo95¢	$1
232d	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	SellNo>99¢	$299
236d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	BuyNo94¢	$9
238d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	BuyNo94¢	$28
239d	Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 20?	BuyNegative3¢	$0
239d	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BuyNo83¢	$83
239d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?	SellNo98¢	$98

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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