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Polymarket wallet 0xa1bdda7fc418b0e0439352b033d6dfec5a186c91 · on Polymarket since Jan 11, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $80 | +$3 +4.2% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 273 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183d | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $77 |
| 246d | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? | BuyYes43¢ | $30 |
| 247d | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11? | BuyYes72¢ | $14 |
| 250d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $101 |
| 266d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes53¢ | $5 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $40 |
| 275d | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $100 |
| 276d | Will the US strike Syria next? | BuyYes5¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.