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Polymarket wallet 0xa3aeb4079ae885e2f2875d4dbf57f9e75f9b78c5 · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2025 · also shown as Heavenly-Kettledrum
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. recession before May 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 182 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Aliskerov vs. MunizSettled - ready to redeem | Muniz | 31 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.