Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522d |  studmuffin69692 fills | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,026 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  TheWolfOfPoly | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,702 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 522d | unix145 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,587 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 522d | odee911 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,638 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  aenews22 fills | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,131 | +$41 +0.2% | 20 |
| 522d | aenews2 | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,452 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 522d |  HNIC5 fills | May 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $19,103 | +$1,132 +5.9% | 20 |
| 522d |  BICTORY | May 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | −$18 −0.6% | — |
| 522d | xst | May 31 | SellYes100¢ | $1,323 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 522d | studmuffin6969 | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,737 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 522d | studmuffin6969 | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,336 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 522d | HNIC | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,605 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 522d | JOHNOO | July 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,840 | −$69 −0.7% | — |
| 522d |  KimJonEn | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,794 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 523d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | May 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,236 | +$1,516 +47% | 20 |
| 523d | Yeswayne2 fills | May 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 523d | M888 | May 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 523d | esac | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,049 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 523d | Mister-Noob | May 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | −$16 −0.7% | — |
| 523d | BICTORY | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$22 +0.7% | 20 |
| 523d |  Mr.Eggplant | May 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 523d | slapbetcommissioner2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,647 | +$1,053 +29% | 20 |
| 523d | 88381237 | May 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$166 +15% | 20 |
| 523d |  Frosen | May 31 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | −$512 −20% | — |
| 523d | Yeswayne | May 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,843 | +$461 +25% | 20 |
| 523d | slapbetcommissioner2 fills | May 31 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,948 | −$1,888 −48% | — |
| 523d |  BFBB | May 31 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$231 −19% | — |
| 523d |  Gringotts | May 31 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$197 −16% | — |
| 523d |  Justifax | May 31 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | −$193 −15% | — |
| 523d | Kor2m | May 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$157 +15% | 20 |
| 523d |  DoneWithIt | May 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,562 | +$1,442 +40% | 20 |
| 524d | pennycc5 fills | May 31 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $20,347 | +$6,601 +32% | 20 |
| 524d |  MEPP | May 31 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$1,296 +45% | 20 |
| 524d | Mr.Eggplant | May 31 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$689 +45% | 20 |
| 524d |  ciro2 | May 31 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$620 +45% | 20 |
| 524d |  carbonite | May 31 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$499 +45% | 20 |
| 524d |  mombil2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $4,080 | +$1,920 +47% | 20 |
| 524d |  Car5 fills | May 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $7,850 | +$3,397 +43% | 20 |
| 524d | oscarod | May 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | +$1,592 +47% | 20 |
| 524d | Frosen3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,944 | +$1,856 +47% | 20 |
| 525d | Shirexa | May 31 | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $8,799 | +$8,799 +100% | — |
| 525d | Kaldren | May 31 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $19,066 | +$10,266 +54% | 20 |
| 525d | N3kro | May 31 | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 20 |
| 525d | anonymousmoose | May 31 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$626 −47% | — |
| 526d | JOHNOO3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$2,821 +45% | 20 |
| 526d |  ScarletRot | May 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | +$739 +47% | 20 |
| 526d | dlm0c2 | May 31 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$305 +26% | 20 |
| 527d |  Axios | May 31 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | −$1,210 −100% | 20 |
| 528d | JOHNOO | July 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$165 +16% | 20 |
| 528d | OkaneKasegu | May 31 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 20 |
| 532d | Lexovan | May 31 | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $12,075 | +$12,075 +100% | — |
| 532d | Norexia | May 31 | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $15,095 | +$12,350 +82% | 20 |
| 534d | MR.N00b | May 31 | SellNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | +$1,187 +100% | — |
| 535d |  Chinese123 | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,461 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 535d | Zenyla | May 31 | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $16,934 | +$16,934 +100% | — |
| 535d | Elphira | May 31 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $19,457 | +$16,574 +85% | 20 |
| 535d | imv | May 31 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | −$1,029 −100% | 20 |
| 535d | AZwater2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,234 | +$71 +1.7% | 20 |
| 536d | nonkenny90 | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$80 +3.3% | 20 |
| 536d | Doggieson | April 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | −$169 −8.0% | — |
This is a market on whether Trump will lower tariffs on China by a specific future date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 100%.
