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Polymarket wallet 0xa624351003df8ef28d6af507cbe74c46ef03f91f · on Polymarket since Jun 19, 2025 · also shown as Smart-Vagrant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$4 +49% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$3 +43% |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$3 +52% |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$2 +37% |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +23% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.9% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 441d | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31? | BuyNo88¢ | $12 |
| 462d | North Korea missile test by July 15? | BuyNo94¢ | $10 |
| 462d | US strikes Yemen before August? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 462d | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo98¢ | $7 |
| 473d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes70¢ | $7 |
| 484d | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July? | BuyYes76¢ | $5 |
| 484d | Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | BuyYes87¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Will Apple release a new product line in 2025? | BuyNo67¢ | $7 |
| 485d | Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo73¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | BuyYes66¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes81¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June? | BuyNo80¢ | $5 |
| 485d | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo66¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | BuyNo81¢ | $5 |
| 485d | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BuyYes80¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.