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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394d |  PrivoNoct | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,683 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 394d |  bosshog2 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,794 | +$115 +1.3% | 10 |
| 394d |  ScottyNooo | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,527 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 394d | KimsCrunchCut | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,482 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 395d | toobit | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,500 | +$15 +0.2% | 10 |
| 395d | chriszyy3 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 395d |  obakobakk4 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,951 | +$206 +0.6% | 10 |
| 395d | UnitP | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,681 | +$32 +0.4% | 10 |
| 396d | uasddhhjj3213 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,113 | +$29 +0.5% | 10 |
| 396d | PrivoNoct | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$10 +0.6% | 10 |
| 396d | maybelater | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,995 | +$71 +0.7% | 10 |
| 397d | OviM | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$13 +0.9% | 10 |
| 400d | simpleman3 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,608 | −$931 −14% | — |
| 400d |  GoldmanSachs | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,257 | −$137 −1.7% | — |
| 401d | xstm | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,494 | −$92 −1.4% | — |
| 406d | Back-Restaurant | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 406d |  nigamoon2 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,893 | +$169 +2.5% | 10 |
| 407d | Bigugo | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 407d |  Zykoer | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,494 | +$255 +2.0% | 10 |
| 407d | yoyobb2018 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$55 +2.8% | 10 |
| 407d | regelee | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$50 −3.5% | — |
| 407d |  456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,572 | −$679 −6.4% | — |
| 408d |  scottilicious3 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,254 | +$747 +8.1% | 10 |
| 408d |  Roflan-ludoman2 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,178 | +$132 +4.2% | 10 |
| 408d | pipigo | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$46 +4.2% | 10 |
| 408d |  KKchallenge | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$82 +4.2% | 10 |
| 409d | ASA1 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$56 −5.3% | — |
| 413d |  0xFEF | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,581 | −$334 −7.3% | — |
| 417d | Back-Restaurant | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$57 +5.3% | 11 |
| 417d | xcnstrategy | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,045 | −$530 −7.5% | — |
| 418d | GoldmanSachs | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,728 | +$493 +6.4% | 10 |
| 419d | simpleman3 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $4,474 | +$901 +20% | 10 |
| 420d | Quarterly-Heifer | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$100 +6.3% | 11 |
| 420d | nigamoon | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$123 −8.7% | — |
| 421d | 854A7843 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$65 +6.5% | 10 |
| 421d | 456ythgbvcadscvb6 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $15,356 | +$1,660 +11% | 10 |
| 421d |  sorcerer.013 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $6,064 | +$1,319 +22% | 10 |
| 421d | cigarettes4 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $7,981 | +$990 +12% | 10 |
| 425d | BryanPunishMK222 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | −$641 −13% | — |
| 425d | ChallengerSpecialist | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,539 | −$278 −11% | — |
| 429d | bosshog | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,030 | −$264 −8.7% | — |
| 429d |  pBs13373 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,150 | −$871 −11% | — |
| 429d | bigbagsbro | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | −$93 −6.4% | — |
| 430d |  ParaNormal | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,149 | +$388 +7.5% | 10 |
| 431d |  HappyBear | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$88 +8.7% | 10 |
| 431d | pBs13372 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $9,307 | +$1,438 +15% | 10 |
| 431d |  Alphax2 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,284 | −$405 −9.5% | — |
| 431d | Swipe | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | −$1,341 −100% | 12 |
| 431d | Vilgefortz9 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $33,311 | −$3,164 −9.5% | — |
| 433d |  KazukoSafaa | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 10 |
| 438d | Vilgefortz3 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $47,202 | +$15,250 +32% | 10 |
| 438d | Dim-Workhorse | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | −$401 −15% | — |
| 438d | Cutemonsterr | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $2,131 | −$2,131 −100% | 15 |
| 440d | abcdportfolio | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | +$1,005 +100% | — |
| 441d | Attractive-TrowelNew account | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,002 | +$906 +23% | 17 |
| 442d |  Kickstand72 fills | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,832 | +$1,742 +30% | 10 |
| 442d |  BuckMySalls | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $4,845 | +$4,845 +100% | — |
| 442d |  Funfzig | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | +$578 +35% | 10 |
| 442d | Chashen | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$660 +37% | 10 |
| 443d | Wide-Eyed-Clarity | Fed rate cut in 2025? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,001 | −$1,482 −37% | — |
Joe-Biden80,238 shares
Tenthirtyone33,292 shares
Bluesq7,245 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.