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Polymarket wallet 0xd484ede187271850cae5bbe5c8e4b85239b28280 · on Polymarket since Aug 15, 2025 · also shown as Tragic-Lightscreen
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 230 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $222 | +$47 +27% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 49¢ → 92¢ | $44 | +$20 +87% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$6 +43% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 62¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$234 −95% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$504 −100% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,568 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,769 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 688 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 30 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.