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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 100% | +1 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 100% | +4 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | +12 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Netherlands | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  Alphax | Finland | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,172 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d |  ULYSSES18 | Italy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,454 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | ULYSSES18 | The Netherlands | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,318 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | ULYSSES18 | Austria | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d |  GollumGekko | Germany | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | GollumGekko | Greece | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d |  DFK4 fills | United States | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,109 | +$222 +1.6% | 4 |
| 290d | Alphax | United States | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,401 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d |  EA-SY | Germany | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,287 | +$21 +0.3% | 4 |
| 292d |  Goopster | United States | SellNo>99¢ | $1,264 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 292d | armanini | Italy | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$196 −20% | — |
| 304d |  devin.lawson.772 fills | United States | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,952 | +$48 +0.8% | 4 |
| 321d |  pinpals | United States | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$30 +2.1% | 4 |
| 321d |  NotTheBadWolf | United States | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,873 | +$127 +2.2% | 4 |
| 338d | aff3 | Germany | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | +$53 +2.6% | 4 |
| 346d | Goopster | United States | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | +$74 +2.8% | 4 |
| 348d | tutrucks | The Netherlands | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,870 | +$151 +5.3% | 4 |
| 352d |  just.some.guy | Belgium | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,304 | −$196 −8.5% | — |
| 358d |  TheKinginYellow | Italy | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | −$177 −15% | — |
| 360d | denizz3 fills | Belgium | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,409 | +$1,791 +41% | 4 |
| 360d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Germany | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$96 −6.6% | — |
| 365d | TheKinginYellow | Italy | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$135 +12% | 4 |
| 366d | renacressida9269 | United States | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,130 | −$239 −5.8% | — |
| 376d |  Car2 fills | United States | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,437 | −$222 −6.5% | — |
| 386d | TheWalk24 | Belgium | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$211 −19% | — |
| 388d | d152667 | Belgium | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,441 | +$1,441 +100% | — |
| 388d | d152667 | Belgium | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $6,007 | −$6,007 −100% | 6 |
| 388d |  DEGENKHAN | United States | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | −$53 −3.3% | — |
| 388d |  davester18 | Belgium | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$240 +18% | 4 |
| 389d | buoys | Belgium | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$262 −17% | — |
| 389d | Car | Belgium | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$689 +22% | 4 |
| 390d |  mombil | Belgium | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 4 |
| 390d |  Pulser | Belgium | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,633 | −$1,633 −100% | 4 |
| 390d | DEGENKHAN2 fills | United States | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | +$188 +8.9% | 4 |
| 390d | Max1609 | France | SellYes>99¢ | $1,125 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 390d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,508 | +$43 +0.1% | 4 |
| 390d |  knrad3 fills | France | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,844 | +$488 +6.2% | 4 |
| 390d |  UwO | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,024 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 391d | Hasbullahr2 fills | United States | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,119 | +$152 +3.0% | 4 |
| 391d | denizz | France | SellYes>99¢ | $3,980 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 391d | GHJ1234 | Belgium | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,371 | −$1,371 −100% | 4 |
| 391d | GHJ1234 | Canada | SellYes>99¢ | $1,837 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 391d | GHJ1234 | United Kingdom | SellYes>99¢ | $2,870 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 391d | klnr11 | United Kingdom | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,927 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 391d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Canada | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,656 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 391d |  Ahpo | United Kingdom | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,781 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 391d |  Chims | United Kingdom | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 391d |  ImJustKen | Canada | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,401 | +$110 +2.0% | 4 |
| 391d | just.some.guy2 fills | United Kingdom | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,029 | +$308 +4.4% | 4 |
| 391d | gulliblebettor | France | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$34 −3.0% | — |
| 392d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e25 | United Kingdom | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$33 +1.7% | 4 |
| 392d | wubddh2 fills | Canada | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,003 | +$695 +12% | 4 |
| 393d |  Vanquish3 fills | France | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,747 | +$515 +7.6% | 4 |
| 393d |  scottilicious3 fills | United Kingdom | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,347 | +$232 +3.7% | 4 |
| 393d | Back-Restaurant | United Kingdom | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$37 +2.1% | 4 |
| 393d | Back-Restaurant2 fills | France | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,048 | +$265 +6.5% | 5 |
| 393d | just.some.guy | Canada | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,067 | +$533 +13% | 4 |
| 393d |  DonAntimatter5 fills | France | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $9,434 | +$1,212 +13% | 4 |
| 393d | wubddh2 fills | United Kingdom | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,733 | +$600 +13% | 4 |
| 394d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | United Kingdom | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$163 +7.0% | 4 |
emmanuelmacaron20 sharesThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for United States means the market gives it about 0%.