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Polymarket wallet 0xa8b97b4fb223eb8e8201f6196297b471841d41f6 · on Polymarket since Mar 24, 2026 · also shown as Suspicious-Hermit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +318% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +92% |
| Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 1 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 223 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204d | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 206d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyYes52¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 206d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5 | BuyOver75¢ | $1 |
| 206d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 207d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 207d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes15¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.