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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$4 +300% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 52¢ → 50¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 42¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$2 −83% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BuyYes25¢ | $1 |
| 272d | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BuyYes52¢ | $2 |
| 272d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 272d | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $2 |
| 272d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BuyYes42¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.