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Polymarket wallet 0xb04b11d4469062ed06825acaa39d13686716a1eb · on Polymarket since Jan 19, 2026 · also shown as Tough-Tide
fortune favors the bold
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,729 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$993 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,758 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,144 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.