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Polymarket wallet 0xb93e1ee2f0e75da434fef356c11e533b7813b8fd · on Polymarket since Nov 14, 2025 · also shown as Thirsty-Formula
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 34,319 | 21¢ → 7¢ | $2,231 | −$4,950 −69% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 23,205 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $1,044 | −$1,956 −65% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,194 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$419 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,576 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,133 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,972 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,436 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,241 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$284 −100% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,375 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,449 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.