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Polymarket wallet 0xba192a1fe13bc0dd5c7dd2bc948b8e578328bfc3 · on Polymarket since Dec 30, 2025 · also shown as Shrill-Terrarium
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$5 −45% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$9 −93% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,308 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 573 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 177 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 324 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
No trades on record.
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.