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Polymarket wallet 0xba324cda98428152b2c945980c6e095d3267c22b · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Grubby-Birch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 36¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$20 +178% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +139% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +117% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes46¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ | $2 |
| 281d | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BuyYes26¢ | $2 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $6 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes36¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.