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Polymarket wallet 0xbd513d337099ee1bf0e7b5e3aab5111dfb32e73d · on Polymarket since May 31, 2026 · also shown as Defiant-Midwife
kk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 361 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 15–20%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 756 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$260 −100% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 779 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$491 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.