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Polymarket wallet 0xc194abe5d93a048298b2bac9685ce5cce04a9ba9 · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,052 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$52 +5.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,132 | 53¢ → 63¢ | $708 | +$108 +18% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 562 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $562 | +$62 +12% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 417 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $417 | +$117 +39% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 436 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $345 | −$8 −2.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 236 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $57 | −$44 −44% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $100 |
| 181d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BuyYes72¢ | $300 |
| 181d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BuyYes89¢ | $500 |
| 181d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BuyYes94¢ | $100 |
| 185d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo81¢ | $352 |
| 185d | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BuyYes95¢ | $1,000 |
| 185d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SellYes99¢ | $694 |
| 189d | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BuyYes53¢ | $600 |
| 189d | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BuyYes76¢ | $500 |
| 189d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BuyYes71¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.