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Polymarket wallet 0xc3fce9e1cdc13ee028678f24d60d5935e82260ba · on Polymarket since Jul 28, 2025 · also shown as Thoughtful-Civilian
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (August 25 - 31)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 62 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 353 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$317 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 183 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.