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Polymarket wallet 0xc8df7f9ba3a6892913a96eb5a43767509f9d7140 · on Polymarket since Jun 2, 2026 · also shown as Extraneous-Spasm-Octet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,272 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $432 | +$45 +12% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,198 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $48 | −$132 −73% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,111 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $45 | −$313 −87% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $98 |
| 88d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $61 |
| 88d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $99 |
| 88d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $102 |
| 107d | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | SellNo94¢ | $290 |
| 116d | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | BuyNo93¢ | $286 |
| 133d | Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $368 |
| 133d | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo81¢ | $261 |
| 137d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $197 |
| 137d | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BuyYes15¢ | $180 |
| 137d | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $210 |
| 137d | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $190 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.