| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 196,710 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1,377 | −$6,881 −83% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,118 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $162 | +$8 +5.0% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,882 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $88 | −$114 −56% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,344 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103,500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,755 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,182 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 137,704 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,678 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,138 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51,969 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,218,360 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,955 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 66 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,197 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$407 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 183,420 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,996 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 159,202 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,000 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,930 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,609 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,086 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62,092 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,381 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 577 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
