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Polymarket wallet 0xe01daa5b317f6ebd5ac17b29b840d4a028d46678 · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2025 · also shown as Rare-Handholding
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 431 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $53 | +$6 +12% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 450 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $25 | −$38 −60% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $49 |
| 21d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $41 |
| 321d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $2 |
| 324d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $20 |
| 482d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyYes34¢ | $12 |
| 482d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyYes59¢ | $20 |
| 482d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes15¢ | $10 |
| 563d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SellNo4¢ | $32 |
| 573d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo3¢ | $24 |
| 585d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SellNo4¢ | $8 |
| 589d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo2¢ | $5 |
| 594d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes19¢ | $15 |
| 596d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes30¢ | $5 |
| 596d | Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30? | BuyYes51¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.