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Polymarket wallet 0xf2a61b1e059da32ae99ea0d6d76cea717cd607dd · on Polymarket since Feb 16, 2026 · also shown as Aromatic-Pricing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 18 | 28¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$2 −47% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$2 −48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 265 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,004 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $18 |
| 242d | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $11 |
| 242d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 243d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $7 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BuyYes36¢ | $3 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 243d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes28¢ | $5 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BuyDown23¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BuyUp37¢ | $3 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 243d | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28? | BuyYes43¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.