| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,191 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $717 | +$111 +18% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,191 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $363 | +$50 +16% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 386 | 27¢ → 70¢ | $270 | +$166 +160% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 444 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $184 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 190 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $172 | +$5 +3.2% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 173 | 37¢ → 98¢ | $169 | +$104 +161% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 158 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $144 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 54¢ → 58¢ | $116 | +$8 +7.4% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 444 | 15¢ → 25¢ | $112 | +$47 +72% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 386 | 40¢ → 29¢ | $112 | −$41 −27% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 162 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $111 | +$9 +8.7% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 444 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $104 | −$9 −8.1% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 93 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $76 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,191 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $66 | −$69 −51% |
| Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 165 | 33¢ → 37¢ | $60 | +$5 +9.8% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 59 | 31¢ → 97¢ | $57 | +$39 +214% |
| Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 165 | 20¢ → 32¢ | $52 | +$20 +60% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 18¢ → 26¢ | $51 | +$15 +42% |
| Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 16d | Yes | 79 | 41¢ → 50¢ | $39 | +$7 +23% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 48 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $38 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 444 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $38 | −$11 −23% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 51 | 14¢ → 73¢ | $38 | +$31 +440% |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 46 | 10¢ → 77¢ | $35 | +$30 +673% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 162 | 7¢ → 19¢ | $30 | +$19 +182% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 32 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $30 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 43 | 58¢ → 69¢ | $29 | +$5 +19% |
| Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 165 | 25¢ → 18¢ | $29 | −$12 −30% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 40¢ → 66¢ | $27 | +$11 +67% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,191 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $26 | −$67 −72% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 27 | 43¢ → 93¢ | $25 | +$14 +115% |
| Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 16d | Yes | 79 | 39¢ → 31¢ | $24 | −$6 −20% |
| Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $23 | −$13 −36% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 190 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $16 | +$6 +53% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 93 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.9% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 31 | 39¢ → 52¢ | $16 | +$4 +31% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | Yes | 19 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $15 | +$2 +15% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 48 | 28¢ → 32¢ | $15 | +$2 +14% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 21 | 57¢ → 71¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 48 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 162 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $14 | −$12 −47% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 51 | 46¢ → 27¢ | $14 | −$10 −43% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 24 | 33¢ → 56¢ | $13 | +$5 +67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 15¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$11 +580% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 48 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $13 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 46 | 36¢ → 27¢ | $12 | −$4 −24% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 14 | 43¢ → 89¢ | $12 | +$6 +107% |
| Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 16d | Yes | 79 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$1 −9.8% |
| Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$5 −30% |
| Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 165 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $12 | −$3 −21% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 21 | 64¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 43 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $11 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 165 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $11 | −$2 −19% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 29¢ → 50¢ | $10 | +$4 +68% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 36d | Yes | 27 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.8% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 11 | 38¢ → 81¢ | $9 | +$5 +114% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$8 +594% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 31 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $9 | +$5 +127% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 85¢ | $9 | +$7 +431% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 23 | 33¢ → 36¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 24 | 26¢ → 34¢ | $8 | +$2 +29% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 158 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $8 | +$2 +34% |
| Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Ends in 1d | Yes | 13 | 35¢ → 62¢ | $8 | +$3 +75% |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 39¢ | $8 | +$3 +54% |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 27 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $8 | +$3 +78% |
| Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 19 | 16¢ → 39¢ | $7 | +$4 +150% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 48 | 15¢ → 15¢ | $7 | $0 0.0% |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 36d | Yes | 27 | 33¢ → 26¢ | $7 | −$2 −23% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Ends in 179d | Yes | 22 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 14 | 33¢ → 48¢ | $7 | +$2 +44% |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 19 | 18¢ → 35¢ | $7 | +$3 +93% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 31 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 27 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 10 | 32¢ → 59¢ | $6 | +$3 +86% |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 19 | 15¢ → 31¢ | $6 | +$3 +103% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$1 −14% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 158 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$6 −52% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Ends in 179d | Yes | 10 | 3¢ → 55¢ | $5 | +$5 +1756% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 21¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$2 −24% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 48 | 7¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$2 +44% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 6.5% to 8%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 17 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 444 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$8 −62% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 21 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $5 | +$1 +26% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 23 | 15¢ → 21¢ | $5 | +$1 +39% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 6 | 89¢ → 75¢ | $5 | −$1 −16% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 17 | 10¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$3 +184% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 36d | Yes | 27 | 9¢ → 17¢ | $4 | +$2 +78% |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 27 | 28¢ → 16¢ | $4 | −$3 −43% |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 2¢ → 10¢ | $4 | +$3 +330% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 162 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$7 −61% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 17 | 37¢ → 24¢ | $4 | −$2 −35% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5 | 45¢ → 82¢ | $4 | +$2 +81% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 21 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.8% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5% to 9.5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 31 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 51 | 28¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$10 −72% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 15.5%+?Ends in 9d | Yes | 23 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $4 | +$2 +78% |
| Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 173 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 48 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$1 −23% |
