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Polymarket wallet 0xfde17cffbbbeec78f9f89d0df4d08fe7ab1a3690 · on Polymarket since Jun 24, 2026 · also shown as Distorted-Tavern-Collector
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 2,460 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $2,364 | −$31 −1.3% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,081 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,904 | +$35 +1.9% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 1,280 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1,262 | +$12 +0.9% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 64d | Yes | 601 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $448 | −$17 −3.7% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 64d | Yes | 500 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $428 | −$12 −2.8% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | Hike 25 bps | 1,899 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $152 | −$118 −44% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,604 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$419 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.