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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisha Wahab | 100% | +9 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Melissa Hernandez | 0% | −9 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wendy Huang | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carin Elam | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Ortega | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rakhi Israni Singh | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victor Aguilar Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57d | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,153 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 57d | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,068 | +$30 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 57d | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 57d | Melissa Hernandez | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,640 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 57d | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,571 | +$28 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 57d | Melissa Hernandez | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,732 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 57d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 10 |
| 57d | pantomime | Melissa Hernandez | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | +$200 +7.1% | 10 |
| 58d | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$73 +6.5% | 10 | |
| 58d | Gaditima | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$140 +7.5% | 10 |
| 59d | Melissa Hernandez | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,100 | +$900 +18% | 10 | |
| 59d | 0x955c…990f | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,101 | +$900 +18% | 10 |
| 59d | SitsToPee | Aisha Wahab | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | −$391 −24% | — |
| 59d | Victor Aguilar Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,154 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 59d | Matt Ortega | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,275 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 59d | Carin Elam | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,630 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 71d | 123905 | Aisha Wahab | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$233 +15% | 10 |
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Aisha Wahab means the market gives it about 100%.