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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Gobeil | 100% | +17 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Régis Gaudreault | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Caroline Dubé | 0% | −15 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d | StraddleSeller | Caroline Dubé | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 46d |  mrworldwide2 fills | Caroline Dubé | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,182 | +$23 +0.7% | 10 |
| 46d | mrworldwide2 fills | Daniel Gobeil | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,659 | +$901 +34% | 10 |
| 46d | StraddleSeller | Daniel Gobeil | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$12 +1.2% | 10 |
| 47d | Addarash | Daniel Gobeil | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,996 | +$614 +20% | 15 |
| 47d |  ProfessionalPunter | Caroline Dubé | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | +$627 +33% | 17 |
| 47d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Caroline Dubé | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$498 +33% | 17 |
| 47d | ProfessionalPunter | Daniel Gobeil | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,457 | +$1,648 +37% | 17 |
| 48d | Etak3 fills | Régis Gaudreault | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,751 | +$24 +0.2% | 10 |
| 68d | KiernanMeister | Daniel Gobeil | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 11 |
p10ama120 sharesA by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Daniel Gobeil means the market gives it about 100%.