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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Fine | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandra Van Cleef | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joshua Vasquez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aaron Baker | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dan Bilzerian | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Gambaro | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ernest Audino | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d |  BobbyBakedBeans2 fills | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 59d |  Flipadelphia | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,548 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 59d | Flipadelphia | Randy Fine | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,086 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 59d | Fearless-Rear-Chitchat2 fills | Randy Fine | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,077 | +$38 +1.2% | 11 |
| 60d |  BlondBeast | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,333 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 60d |  AllByMyseIf2 fills | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,801 | +$53 +0.5% | 10 |
| 61d |  GollumGekko | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,018 | +$24 +0.8% | 10 |
| 61d | livepo1y | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,436 | +$35 +1.0% | 10 |
| 61d | Fearless-Rear-Chitchat2 fills | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 73d | TrangNgo | Randy Fine | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$27 +2.6% | 10 |
| 78d | StraddleSeller | Dan Bilzerian | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,623 | −$37 −1.0% | — |
| 91d |  bullishkirby2 | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,234 | +$100 +2.4% | 10 |
| 127d |  bullishkirby | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,855 | +$121 +3.1% | 10 |
| 128d | IKnowBetter2 fills | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | +$96 +3.8% | 10 |
| 135d |  aenews2 | Randy Fine | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | +$128 +5.6% | 10 |
| 158d |  strider- | Dan Bilzerian | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,787 | +$659 +11% | 10 |
| 186d |  yierbao | Ernest Audino | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | −$1,247 −43% | — |
| 186d | yierbao | Ernest Audino | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,101 | +$54 +1.3% | 10 |
YouKnowNothingJonSnow227 shares
Lavincey83 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Randy Fine means the market gives it about 100%.