| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 4,553 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $4,030 | +$496 +14% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,751 | 57¢ → 71¢ | $1,251 | +$250 +25% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 859 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $806 | +$64 +8.6% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 601 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $584 | +$33 +6.0% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 106d | Yes | 5,551 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $441 | −$688 −61% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,460 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $399 | +$85 +27% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 334 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $312 | +$46 +17% |
| Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 352 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $285 | +$16 +6.0% |
| Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 263 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $245 | +$39 +19% |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 218 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $209 | +$30 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$15 +8.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$11 +6.2% |
| Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $148 | +$4 +2.9% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 151 | 38¢ → 71¢ | $106 | +$50 +88% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 806 | 29¢ → 12¢ | $97 | −$134 −58% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 116 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $93 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will "The Romantic - Bruno Mars" be the top album for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 94 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $92 | +$8 +8.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 314 | 33¢ → 29¢ | $91 | −$11 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 299 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $73 | −$11 −14% |
| Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 64 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $58 | +$4 +8.3% |
| Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 25d | No | 58 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$4 +7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 145 | 27¢ → 38¢ | $54 | +$15 +39% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $51 | +$9 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 66 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $49 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $49 | +$11 +29% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 55¢ → 71¢ | $48 | +$11 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 148 | 34¢ → 32¢ | $47 | −$4 −7.4% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 52 | 51¢ → 81¢ | $42 | +$16 +61% |
| Will Zack Gelof win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$2 +4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 102 | 46¢ → 39¢ | $39 | −$8 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 38¢ | $37 | −$8 −17% |
| Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Ends in 62d | No | 37 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $37 | +$3 +9.4% |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 97 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 312 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $33 | −$27 −45% |
| Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $31 | −$2 −6.7% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 73 | 67¢ → 35¢ | $26 | −$23 −47% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $25 | +$4 +17% |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $23 | +$3 +12% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 117 | 9¢ → 19¢ | $22 | +$12 +118% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 53¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$9 +90% |
| Will Daniel Suarez win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 21d | No | 20 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 24 | 62¢ → 81¢ | $19 | +$5 +31% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 27 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 21 | 36¢ → 82¢ | $17 | +$9 +125% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 66 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$13 +555% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$5 +49% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$7 +117% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 63¢ → 85¢ | $13 | +$3 +34% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 16 | 62¢ → 72¢ | $11 | +$2 +15% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 22 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $11 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 12 | 64¢ → 90¢ | $11 | +$3 +41% |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 52 | 25¢ → 19¢ | $10 | −$3 −25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$5 −36% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$2 +33% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 18d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 41 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 207 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$7 −52% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 7 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9 | 36¢ → 61¢ | $6 | +$2 +66% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7 | 65¢ → 75¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 66¢ → 74¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6 | 68¢ → 81¢ | $5 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 20 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 96 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$8 −64% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $5 | −$1 −21% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +39% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16 | 38¢ → 28¢ | $5 | −$1 −24% |
| Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 21d | Yes | 9 | 21¢ → 48¢ | $4 | +$2 +130% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$8 −65% |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 19¢ | $4 | +$1 +42% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 79 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$1 +58% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 133 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$5 −60% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 3 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 31 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$1 −31% |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$0 −18% |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 18d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $2 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$1 −28% |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 6 | 40¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 25¢ → 35¢ | $0 | +$0 +40% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 12¢ → 25¢ | $0 | +$0 +97% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 3 | 37¢ → 10¢ | $0 | −$1 −73% |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 15¢ → 18¢ | $0 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 34 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 21d | Yes | 12 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
